BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 68 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 83.75
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2021 Neutral L 79.24 19 33 1A 23 ( 10- 2) Appalachian St -3.76 -10.24
2 09/11/2021 Home L 76.27 17 20 1A 72 ( 6- 6) South Carolina -6.74 3.74
3 09/18/2021 Away W 93.78 42 38 1A 55 ( 7- 5) Marshall 10.77 -6.77
4 09/25/2021 Home W 66.31 31 28 1B 58 ( 4- 6) Charleston Southern -16.69 19.69
5 10/02/2021 Home W * 97.81 52 29 1A 95 ( 2- 10) Tulane 14.81 8.19
6 10/09/2021 Away L * 82.62 16 20 1A 65 ( 8- 4) Central Florida -0.38 -3.62
7 10/23/2021 Away L * 86.62 24 31 1A 35 ( 11- 1) Houston 3.61 -10.61
8 10/28/2021 Home W * 84.88 29 14 1A 106 ( 2- 10) South Florida 1.87 13.13
9 11/06/2021 Home W * 95.94 45 3 1A 128 ( 3- 9) Temple 12.94 29.06
10 11/13/2021 Away W * 83.66 30 29 1A 82 ( 6- 6) Memphis 0.66 0.34
11 11/20/2021 Away W * 81.52 38 35 1A 94 ( 3- 8) Navy -1.49 4.49
12 11/26/2021 Home L * 76.41 13 35 1A 5 ( 12- 0) Cincinnati -6.60 -15.40
Averages 83.75 29.7 26.2
Best game: 97.81 = 23 point win over Tulane
Worst game: 66.31 = 3 point win over Charleston Southern
Team stdev: 9.03